Press Releases

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New National Poll:Trump’s GOP Support Is Fragmenting

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

July 19, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Post-election missteps are leading Trump’s core supporters to abandon him

Washington D.C. – A new nationwide survey by John Bolton Super PAC of voters reveals that a majority of Republican primary voters now agree “that a new Republican candidate – a fresh face – would be a stronger candidate to defeat Joe Biden in 2024.” That is a major shift since our first national poll taken in April where 50% of primary voters said Trump would be the strongest candidate to defeat Biden while 36% said another candidate would be stronger. That’s a shift of 17 points away from Trump and 16 points to a “fresh face” – a 33-point swing.

Specifically, Republican primary voters disapprove of Trump’s handling of the January 6 riot, sided with Pence over certifying electoral college voters, and are concerned over the recent Trump Organization indictments.

Ambassador John Bolton:

“The significant amount of data in this poll should be of considerable interest to Republican candidates at all levels: presidential, congressional, and state/local.

The data show the fissures in Trump’s base are expanding, and show that GOP voters still prize good policy above anyone’s personality.”

Other key findings from the poll include:

– A third of Trump’s most ardent supporters – Republican primary voters who are Very Favorable to Trump – now say a fresh face would be a stronger candidate against Biden than Trump. Of Republican primary voters who are less ardent Trump supporters – voters who are Somewhat Favorable to Trump – 69% said a fresh face will be a stronger candidate.

– By a share of 2:1, Republicans sided with Mike Pence recognizing that the Vice President lacks the authority to throw out electoral college votes. 62% of all voters agree with Pence – only 14% agree with Trump. Republican primary voters also agree with Pence (43%) while only 23% agree with Trump.

– 46% of Republican primary voters believe Trump should have taken stronger steps to stop the rioters when they entered the Capitol and an overwhelming 62% of general election voters indicating Trump is to blame for the attack.

– Recent Trump organization indictments are big trouble for Trump with 45% of all voters saying the indictments for tax evasion and other charges make them less favorable to Trump, along with 22% of Republican primary voters.

– Despite Trump’s claims “the election was stolen, 64% of all voters now say Biden won the election and “is truly President.” Biden leads Trump in the 2024 Presidential ballot and Democrats lead the 2022 generic congressional ballot.

These findings are based on a nationally representative survey conducted by political veteran Carter Wrenn on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC, of 1,000 of likely midterm general election voters, with an oversample of Republican voters. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval.

Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

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New poll shows Trump’s base in New Hampshire drops 35% since October 2020.

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

June 4, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Washington D.C. – A new survey of New Hampshire voters by John Bolton Super PAC and the New Hampshire Institute of Politics revealed former President Donald Trump’s base has dropped 35% since the election with 2024 Republican primary voters. Trump’s decline is primarily due to his personality or character, as 61% of Republican voters say they disapprove of his personality. These results confirm trends among Republican primary voters first revealed in polling results released by John Bolton Super PAC in April.

Statement by Ambassador John Bolton:

“The second survey commissioned by the John Bolton Super PAC, this time of New Hampshire voters, undertaken by St. Anselm College’s Institute of Politics, shows a continuation of trends identified in our first poll, a national survey announced in April – an ongoing weakening of support for Trump within the Republican Party. This is true not only in the national poll, but in New Hampshire, a key state for the 2022 mid-term elections, with both Senatorial and Gubernatorial elections scheduled. And, New Hampshire, of course, remains the first-in-the-nation Republican primary in 2024 for the Party’s presidential nomination.

As described more fully in the attached narrative and presentation of results to the survey questions as presented to us by St. Amselm College’s Institute of Politics, we believe that the “conventional wisdom” that former President Trump still controls the Republican Party is becoming increasingly less and less tenable among his strongest supporters, regular Republicans as well as Independents. The rhetorical gap between the increasing disenchantment of actual Republican voters on the one hand and the vested interest of Trump and his supporters on the other is becoming broader.

We welcome additional polling on the subjects we have been raising by all responsible pollsters. As we demonstrated in our first national poll announced in April, we are committed to openness and transparency and have released all the data for everyone to view. With the very concept of public-opinion polling on political questions under heavy criticism in the United States, we believe nothing less is satisfactory. So for all the others who may engage in polling similar to ours, we would also welcome your commitment to full transparency as well.”

Key findings from the poll include:

– Trump has suffered a significant erosion of “strongly favorable” voters. 47% of Republican voters now have a strongly favorable opinion of Trump, compared to 71% just prior to the election. Trump has a narrow lead in the GOP primary — 52% vote Trump, 48% not Trump.

– 61% of New Hampshire Republican voters disapprove of Donald Trump’s personality. Voters in New Hampshire also say, overwhelmingly, that a candidate’s stands on issues is more important to them than a candidate’s loyalty to Trump – by a margin of 91% to 8%.

– Voters disagree with Trump’s claim that he won the 2020 election by a wide margins — 58% to 28%.

– 46% of New Hampshire Republican voters said Trump’s opposition to a Republican candidate in a primary made no difference to them. Trump’s endorsement helps a candidate in a primary but also makes it harder for the candidate to win the general election. 56% of the Undeclared voters are Strongly Unfavorable to Trump and almost all vote for Biden.

These findings are based on a survey of New Hampshire voters conducted on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC by the New Hampshire Institute of Politics, of 1,267 of likely midterm general election voters, with an oversample of Republican voters. Political veteran Carter Wrenn helped analyze the results. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 2.8% at a 95% confidence interval.

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Poll reveals Trump’s GOP base is weakening.

Posted on by

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

April 20, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley, Director
John Bolton SuperPAC
202-621-8056
[email protected]

Data shows that Trump endorsements are significantly less positive than seen by conventional wisdom.

Washington D.C. – A new nationwide survey by John Bolton Super PAC of midterm election voters revealed that support for President Trump is weakening inside the GOP. Specifically, 56% of Republican primary voters would support a candidate other than Donald Trump. Further, midterm voters revealed that a Trump endorsement in a race had very little net positive effect, and overwhelmingly signaled that a candidate’s position on key issues mattered more than a candidate’s loyalty to Donald Trump.

Statement of Ambassador John Bolton:

This is a critical time for the future of the Republican Party: what it stands for and who leads it. I am, therefore, delighted to announce the results of our recent nationwide public-opinion poll, the first in what we hope we will be a series of surveys at the national and state levels. As described in more detail below, the poll was aimed at better understanding attitudes about a variety of factors affecting the Republican Party and its future: views on issues and policies; opinions about former President Donald Trump; and voting preferences looking forward. To that end, we surveyed both a 1000-person sample of all voters and an oversample of Republicans (600 in number).

We were motivated in part because of the palpable discrepancy in our public discourse between what commentators, politicians and others assert about the present and future status of the Republican Party, and the evidence they possess to support their contentions. Clearly, we face a “rhetoric gap,” a significant disjunction between opinions and facts. One of our principal objectives here is to contribute to closing that rhetoric gap.

It is understandable in light of recent election-year experience that many Americans have lost all or much of their confidence in the integrity, accuracy and fairness of public-opinion polling. We make no special methodological claims for this poll, other than to say we rigorously employed highly regarded professional practices. In addition, we are making our results public for all to see and analyze.

One poll alone is obviously only a start, which is why we hope to continue and elaborate on this poll on a regular basis going forward, both at the national level and in selected states, and also expect to make these results public. We welcome competition. Those dissatisfied with the results we present here are free to conduct their own polls. The more data the better. As the words from the Bible carved on the walls in the CIA lobby say: “And ye shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.”

Key findings from the poll include:

– As the number of Republicans who describe themselves as ‘very favorable’ to Donald Trump has declined by 19 points since last October, with voters citing Trump’s personality as the reason for the decline.

– 50% of Republican primary voters indicated Trump opposing a candidate makes no difference to them while 26% said they would be more likely to vote against a candidate Trump opposes. 24% said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate Trump opposes – a margin of just 2 points.

– By a margin of 89% to 8% Republican primary voters said a candidate’s stand on issues matters more than a candidate’s loyalty to Donald Trump.

– 64% of the Republican primary voters who said they liked Trump’s policies but not his personality would vote for a candidate other than Trump in the 2024 presidential primary. Even among voters who ‘Like Both Trump’s Policy and Personality,’ almost one-third do not vote for Trump.

These findings are based on a nationally representative survey conducted by political veteran Carter Wrenn, president, PEM Management Corporation, Raleigh, North Carolina, on behalf of John Bolton Super PAC, of 1,000 of likely midterm general election voters, with an oversample of Republican voters. The survey of general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The survey of 600 Likely Republican general election voters has a margin of error of +/- 4.0% at a 95% confidence interval.

The full topline analysis and crosstabs are available here: www.boltonsuperpac.com

Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 200 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

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John Bolton Endorses and Makes PAC Contribution to Matt Jacobs for Congress

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

March 17, 2021
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley
[email protected]

WASHINGTON, D.C. – Ambassador John Bolton announced today that he is endorsing Matt Jacobs for Congress (CA-26) and that the John Bolton PAC will donate $5,000 to his campaign.

Ambassador Bolton is committed to supporting candidates for elected office who believe in protecting the United States’ vital freedoms at home by securing American interests in a challenging world with a strong, clear and dependable national security policy resting on constancy and resolve. The John Bolton PAC will do so through contributions in primary and general election contests.

On Matt Jacobs: “As a federal prosecutor, Matt Jacobs investigated and prosecuted some of America’s worst enemies – including al-Qaeda terrorists,” Bolton said. “That’s the kind of toughness we need if America’s going to stand up to threats like Russia and China.”

On the Midterm Election: “This midterm election will be a referendum on Joe Biden’s disastrous national security policies. It’s the first opportunity for voters to respond to Biden’s disastrous retreat in Afghanistan and his embarrassing failure to deter Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. I believe everyday Americans have a better sense of our security needs and this election will prove it.”

Statement from Matt Jacobs: “Ambassador John Bolton has long been a champion of American strength and leadership on the world stage. The Biden Administration’s abject failures in Afghanistan and Eastern Europe have weakened America and strengthened our foes. I’m honored to have the support of Ambassador Bolton, who understands the many security threats facing our nation and how we must deal with them.”

Through his PAC, SuperPAC and Foundation, Ambassador John Bolton defends America by raising the importance of national security in public discourse and supporting candidates who believe in strong national security policies. Ambassador Bolton has worked hard to restore conservative leadership, which must reverse the recent policies of drift, decline and defeat. America must rise to the occasion and acknowledge the indispensable role we play in the world. Through 2020, Ambassador Bolton’s endorsed over 250 candidates and raised nearly $20 million for his organizations.

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STATEMENT OF JOHN R. BOLTON

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During the present impeachment controversy, I have tried to meet my obligations both as a citizen and as former National Security Advisor. My colleague, Dr. Charles Kupperman, faced with a House committee subpoena on the one hand, and a Presidential directive not to testify on the other, sought final resolution of this Constitutional conflict from the Federal judiciary. After my counsel informed the House committee that I too would seek judicial resolution of these Constitutional issues, the committee chose not to subpoena me. Nevertheless, I publicly resolved to be guided by the outcome of Dr. Kupperman’s case.

But both the President and the House of Representatives opposed his effort on jurisdictional grounds, and each other on the merits. The House committee went so far as to withdraw its subpoena to Dr. Kupperman in a deliberate attempt to moot the case and deprive the court of jurisdiction. Judge Richard Leon, in a carefully reasoned opinion on December 30, held Dr. Kupperman’s case to be moot, and therefore did not reach the separation-of-powers issues.

The House has concluded its Constitutional responsibility by adopting Articles of Impeachment related to the Ukraine matter. It now falls to the Senate to fulfill its Constitutional obligation to try impeachments, and it does not appear possible that a final judicial resolution of the still-unanswered Constitutional questions can be obtained before the Senate acts.

Accordingly, since my testimony is once again at issue, I have had to resolve the serious competing issues as best I could, based on careful consideration and study. I have concluded that, if the Senate issues a subpoena for my testimony, I am prepared to testify.

For More Updates, Follow Ambassador John Bolton on Twitter: https://twitter.com/AmbJohnBolton

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Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Five Incumbents For Reelection

Posted on by

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

September 13, 2019
CONTACT: Sarah Tinsley
[email protected]

Washington D.C. – Former Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, Ambassador John R. Bolton, announced today the resumption of the John Bolton PAC and the John Bolton Super PAC. He also announced the John Bolton PAC’s endorsement of the following five federal candidates running in 2020: Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas, Sen. Cory Gardner of Colorado, Sen. Thom Tillis of North Carolina, Rep. Adam Kinzinger (IL-16), and Rep. Lee Zeldin (NY-01). Additionally, the John Bolton PAC will contribute $10,000 to each candidate’s primary and general election campaigns for a total of $50,000. Ambassador Bolton has endorsed each of these candidates in previous election cycles. 

“The John Bolton PAC and John Bolton Super PAC seek a strong, clear, and dependable U.S. national security policy, resting on constancy and resolve,” said Ambassador Bolton. “The experience that these incumbent members of Congress have provides them with a remarkable understanding and knowledge of the threats we face from international terrorism and rogue regimes such as Iran and North Korea.” 

Since 2014, the John Bolton PAC has contributed $1,504,500 to 219 federal and state candidates. During this same time, the John Bolton Super PAC has spent $6,183,797 on independent expenditures in support of strong national security policies.  ###

About the John Bolton PAC (www.boltonpac.com): The John Bolton PAC was founded by Ambassador John R. Bolton to stress the importance of American national security in federal elections. The PAC will support and contribute to candidates who are committed to restoring strong American economic and national security policies that secure America’s interests in a challenging world. 

ABOUT JOHN BOLTON

Ambassador John Bolton, a diplomat and a lawyer, has spent many years in public service. He served as the U.S. Permanent Representative to the United Nations in 2005-2006. He was Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security from 2001 to 2005. In the Reagan Administration, he was an Assistant Attorney General.

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